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03 May 2015 @ 03:53 am
Google Wave vs Google Maps  
Just read on HN that Google Wave was created by the same people as Google Maps.

In early 2003, Rasmussen and his brother Lars started Where 2 Technologies, a mapping project that developed the prototype of their mapping application called Expedition. Google acquired Where 2 Technologies in October 2004, and the Rasmussen brothers then became Google employees. Both brothers were on the team that launched Google Maps in early 2005.
Rasmussen invented Google Wave in 2004, while the brothers were in talks with Google about selling Where 2 Technologies to Google. The Rasmussen brothers started working on Google Wave in 2006, and in 2007 Jens moved to Sydney, Australia, where he continued working with Lars and a small team on the Google Wave idea, under the project name Walkabout. Google Wave was an open source code internet application launched in 2009 and discontinued in 2012.

My nice theory that startup/product success is 90% predefined by founders/creator just went down in flames.
... or did Google Wave die because initial prototype cannot be developed in a big corp environment with endless resources?
Clean and soberanspa on May 4th, 2015 04:26 am (UTC)
simply saying - it is about statistics. 1 in 1 million flies out.
Dennis Gorelikdennisgorelik on May 4th, 2015 05:18 am (UTC)
Oh, come on - it's not THAT bad.
Chances of new project success are much higher than one in one million.
It's more like 10%.

But what is more important, there is a strong correlation between successful technologists/entrepreneurs and future success.
Even though that correlation is not 100%.
Clean and soberanspa on May 4th, 2015 02:06 pm (UTC)
If every 10th project of a successful guy would work out, that does not mean 10%. That means 10% multiplied by ratio of how many successful geniuses relative to the mass are out there (not so many). Reading an article about Elon Musk.

Edited at 2015-05-04 02:07 pm (UTC)
Dennis Gorelikdennisgorelik on May 4th, 2015 02:19 pm (UTC)
Success ratio of successful guys is well above 10%.
10% success ratio is average for overall population.

Besides, you do not have to be a genius to be successful.

I think Warren Buffet joked that if you are super-smart -- see your IQ above 120 points, because you do not really need it for business success.